· Analysis updated 08:53 UTC
Atert Bissen vs Liège Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.73 expected goals for Atert Bissen and 2.48 for Liège, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Liège the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Liège win
75.7% probability
Expected goals
0.73 – 2.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atert Bissen home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Liège away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Liège to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 9% / 15% / 76% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.73 goals for Atert Bissen and 2.48 for Liège, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
24%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
91%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–212.5%
- 0–310.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–37.5%
Recent form
Atert Bissen
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ALSS Luxembourg · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiltz · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs US Rumelange · 6-0 (W)
Liège
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge II · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs K. Lierse S.K. · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dender · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KRC Genk II · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · Atert Bissen 1-1 Liège (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-07-26T16:00:00.000Z · Atert Bissen 0-2 Liège (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Liège win, at 75.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.