Luxembourg · National Division · Matchweek 2814:00
Atert BissenWWDWW

3 – 2

Sunday, 10 May 2026

· Analysis updated 06:46 UTC

Atert Bissen vs Rodange 91 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Atert Bissen and 1.22 for Rodange 91, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Atert Bissen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Atert Bissen win

59.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Atert Bissen home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rodange 91 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Atert Bissen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Atert Bissen and 1.22 for Rodange 91, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Atert Bissen win59%
Draw20%
Rodange 91 win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 3–17.0%

Recent form

Atert Bissen

  • 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ALSS Luxembourg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiltz · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs US Rumelange · 6-0 (W)

Rodange 91

  • 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jeunesse Schieren · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamer · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamer · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Differdange 03 · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen1110101931
2FC Differdange 031110012330
3US Mondorf-les-bains11803324
4Racing FC Union Luxembourg116411922
5Atert Bissen117131222
6UN Kaerjeng 97117041121
7Progres Niederkorn11614719
8Résidence Walferdange11515-316
9F91 Dudelange11416-113
10AS Jeunesse Esch11416-213
11Victoria Rosport11326-511
12US Hostert11326-511
13Etzella Ettelbruck11227-108
14US Rumelange11227-168
15Wiltz11128-135
16Swift Hesperange110011-39

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Atert Bissen win, at 59.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.