Fifth Third Stadium · Analysis updated 14:51 UTC
Atlanta United II vs Inter Miami II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.57 expected goals for Atlanta United II and 1.06 for Inter Miami II, a combined total of 4.63. That distribution gives Atlanta United II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Atlanta United II win
82.9% probability
Expected goals
3.57 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atlanta United II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atlanta United II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 83% / 10% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.57 goals for Atlanta United II and 1.06 for Inter Miami II, a combined 4.63 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 63%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
17%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.8%
- 3–07.4%
- 4–17.0%
- 4–06.6%
- 2–16.6%
Recent form
Atlanta United II
- 2026-08-28T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Miami II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Orlando City II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Chicago Fire II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-14T20:00:00.000Z · H vs New York RB II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Chattanooga · 0-1 (L)
Inter Miami II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Atlanta United II win, at 82.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.