Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs FC Vaduz Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and 1.56 for FC Vaduz, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Atlètic Club d'Escaldes the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win41%

Draw23%

FC Vaduz win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.3%
2–18.6%
1–28.0%
2–26.7%
1–06.6%

Why the model likes this

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Vaduz away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atlètic Club d'Escaldes to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and 1.56 for FC Vaduz, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

2026-07-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Vaduz · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Vaduz · 0-4 (L)
2026-07-16T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Mornar · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Mornar · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Santa Coloma · 3-2 (W)

FC Vaduz

2026-08-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter Turku · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Sion · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Turku · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC ST. Gallen · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.