· Analysis updated 08:37 UTC
Atletico PE U20 vs America PE U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.01 expected goals for Atletico PE U20 and 3.58 for America PE U20, a combined total of 4.59. That distribution gives America PE U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
America PE U20 win
83.8% probability
Expected goals
1.01 – 3.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atletico PE U20 home form
1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
America PE U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates America PE U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 7% / 10% / 84% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.01 goals for Atletico PE U20 and 3.58 for America PE U20, a combined 4.59 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
16%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.8%
- 0–37.8%
- 1–47.0%
- 0–47.0%
- 1–26.6%
Recent form
Atletico PE U20
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs CA Porto U20 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ibis Sport Club U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atletico Torres U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Central SC U20 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Retrô U20 · 0-6 (L)
America PE U20
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Serrano PE U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jaguar U20 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sport Recife U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nautico U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Guarany U20 · 8-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pernambucano - U20 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz U20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 20 |
| 1 | Sport Recife U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 |
| 2 | Retrô U20 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 |
| 2 | Nautico U20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Ipojuca U20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Academica Vitoria U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | CA Porto U20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 |
| 4 | America PE U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Central SC U20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Petrolina U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | 1º de Maio U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 6 | Serrano PE U20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Ibis Sport Club U20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 7 | Jaguar U20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 8 | Atletico PE U20 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -24 | 3 |
| 8 | Guarany U20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -33 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico Torres U20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -22 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is America PE U20 win, at 83.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.