· Analysis updated 03:40 UTC
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs Talleres Córdoba Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Atlético Tucumán Res. and 0.93 for Talleres Córdoba Res., a combined total of 1.62. That distribution gives Talleres Córdoba Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
73.8% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atlético Tucumán Res. home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Talleres Córdoba Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 26% / 35% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Atlético Tucumán Res. and 0.93 for Talleres Córdoba Res., a combined 1.62 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% and both teams to score at 30%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
65%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–019.7%
- 0–118.2%
- 1–013.8%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–28.4%
Recent form
Atlético Tucumán Res.
- 2026-10-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Talleres Córdoba Res. · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Banfield Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-22T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. · 1-0 (W)
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 73.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.