· Analysis updated 11:13 UTC
Atletik Kuklen vs Levski Karlovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Atletik Kuklen and 1.85 for Levski Karlovo, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Levski Karlovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Levski Karlovo win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atletik Kuklen home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Levski Karlovo away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–29.0%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.5%
Recent form
Atletik Kuklen
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodopa Smolyan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rozova dolina · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sayana Haskovo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Yambol 1915 · 0-7 (L)
Levski Karlovo
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rozova dolina · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sayana Haskovo · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Yambol 1915 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagorets · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-01T14:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 3-1 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2025-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 0-4 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2025-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 4-0 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2024-11-16T12:30:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 0-3 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2024-03-23T13:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 2-2 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2023-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 2-1 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2023-04-19T14:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 0-5 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2022-10-08T13:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 2-0 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2022-03-19T13:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 1-4 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
- 2021-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · Atletik Kuklen 2-0 Levski Karlovo (Third League - Southeast)
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Krumovgrad | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 36 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 27 |
| 4 | Neftochimic Burgas | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Sayana Haskovo | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22 |
| 6 | Yambol 1915 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Rodopa Smolyan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Gigant Saedinenie | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Sozopol | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Rozova dolina | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Dimitrovgrad | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 12 | Zagorets | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 13 | Botev Plovdiv II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -21 | 8 |
| 16 | Atletik Kuklen | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 7 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Levski Karlovo win, at 46.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.