· Analysis updated 12:10 UTC
Attacking Saints vs Old Road Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Attacking Saints and 2.10 for Old Road, a combined total of 4.20. That distribution gives Attacking Saints the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
60.1% probability
Expected goals
2.10 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Attacking Saints home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Attacking Saints to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 20% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.10 goals for Attacking Saints and 2.10 for Old Road, a combined 4.20 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 79% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–16.6%
- 2–35.1%
Recent form
Attacking Saints
- 2026-04-25T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Grenades · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-18T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Garden Stars · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-04T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Old Road · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-03-28T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-03-23T20:15:00.000Z · H vs John Hughes · 0-1 (L)
Old Road
- 2026-10-18T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Pigotts Bullets · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-13T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Potters Tigers · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-29T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Grenades · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Jennings United · 14-0 (W)
- 2026-04-04T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Attacking Saints · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04T19:15:00.000Z · Attacking Saints 3-3 Old Road (Premier Division)
- 2026-01-11T00:00:00.000Z · Attacking Saints 1-4 Old Road (Premier Division)
- 2025-02-09T20:00:00.000Z · Attacking Saints 2-4 Old Road (Premier Division)
- 2025-01-11T22:00:00.000Z · Attacking Saints 2-5 Old Road (Premier Division)
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potters Tigers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Garden Stars | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Grenades | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Pigotts Bullets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Hoppers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | All Saints United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | Freemansville | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 9 | Old Road | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.