Atvidabergs FF vs Trollhättan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.12 expected goals for Atvidabergs FF and 1.43 for Trollhättan, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Atvidabergs FF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Atvidabergs FF win

53.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.12 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Atvidabergs FF home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Trollhättan away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Atvidabergs FF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 21% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.12 goals for Atvidabergs FF and 1.43 for Trollhättan, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Atvidabergs FF win53%

Draw21%

Trollhättan win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.2%
1–18.7%
2–26.6%
3–16.5%
2–06.5%

Recent form

Atvidabergs FF

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laholm · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lund · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonkopings Sodra · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Malmo · 2-2 (D)

Trollhättan

2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hässleholms IF · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Skövde AIK · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Utsikten · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilsminne · 4-2 (W)
2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ettan - Södra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	26	17	6	3	29	57
2	Hässleholms IF	26	15	3	8	17	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	13	8	5	14	47
4	Lund	26	12	8	6	18	44
5	AFC Malmo	26	12	8	6	12	44
6	Rosengård	26	10	9	7	4	39
7	Trollhättan	26	10	8	8	4	38
8	Tvååker	26	9	7	10	-6	34
9	Jonkopings Sodra	26	9	6	11	2	33
10	Olympic	26	10	3	13	-2	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	8	9	9	-9	33
12	Eskilsminne	26	9	5	12	-9	32
13	Kristianstad	26	7	6	13	-10	27
14	Laholm	26	7	5	14	-11	26
15	Angelholms FF	26	5	9	12	-14	24
16	Utsikten	26	2	6	18	-39	12

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Atvidabergs FF win, at 53.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.