· Analysis updated 14:26 UTC
Atzeneta vs Eldense B Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Atzeneta and 0.93 for Eldense B, a combined total of 1.76. That distribution gives Eldense B the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.2% probability
Expected goals
0.83 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Atzeneta home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eldense B away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eldense B to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 31% / 33% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.83 goals for Atzeneta and 0.93 for Eldense B, a combined 1.76 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–017.2%
- 0–115.9%
- 1–014.4%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–27.4%
Recent form
Atzeneta
- 2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Eldense B · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Buñol · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Castellonense · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Ontinyent 1931 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Villarreal III · 0-1 (L)
Eldense B
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hércules II · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Torrent · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Buñol · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Atzeneta · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Torrellano · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Vall de Uxó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Torrent | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Roda | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Eldense B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Levante II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Saguntino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Crevillente | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Acero | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ontinyent 1931 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | SC Torrevieja | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Buñol | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Jove Español | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Atzeneta | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Soneja | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Utiel | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Torrellano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.