World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying16:00
Auda

41

Thursday, 30 July 2026

FCSB

Skonto stadions · Referee T. Owen · Analysis updated 10:07 UTC

Auda vs FCSB Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Auda and 2.00 for FCSB, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Auda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Auda win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.00 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Auda win58%
Draw17%
FCSB win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–16.1%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 3–26.1%
  • 4–14.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Auda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 17% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.00 goals for Auda and 2.00 for FCSB, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 82%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

  • Model confidence

    The headline pick is rated 58% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Auda

    FCSB

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.