Felix Capriles · Referee G. Quenta · Analysis updated 14:32 UTC
Aurora vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Aurora and 1.22 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined total of 2.07. That distribution gives San Antonio Bulo Bulo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
74.4% probability
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Aurora home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates San Antonio Bulo Bulo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 26% / 30% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.85 goals for Aurora and 1.22 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined 2.07 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.4%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–012.6%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–29.4%
Recent form
Aurora
- 2026-09-19T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitario de Vinto · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Guabirá · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T22:00:00.000Z · A vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-08T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 3-0 (W)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
- 2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-25T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Copa de la División Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Aurora | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Nacional Potosí | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 |
| 4 | The Strongest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Real Potosí | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Tomayapo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Always Ready | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Guabirá | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | ABB | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Real Oruro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | Blooming | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 74.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.