Austria · Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga · Vorarlberg - 1917:30

0 – 3

Thursday, 30 April 2026

RotenbergLWDLL

SUN MINIMEAL Arena · Analysis updated 19:37 UTC

Austria Lustenau II vs Rotenberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for Austria Lustenau II and 1.54 for Rotenberg, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Austria Lustenau II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Austria Lustenau II win

47.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.54

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Austria Lustenau II home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Austria Lustenau II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 22% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.97 goals for Austria Lustenau II and 1.54 for Rotenberg, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Austria Lustenau II win48%
Draw22%
Rotenberg win31%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–05.9%

Recent form

Austria Lustenau II

  • 2026-06-13T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Röthis · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-06-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Blau-Weiß Feldkirch · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-03T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lochau · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Egg · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hard · 1-3 (L)

Rotenberg

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Röthis2515552750
    2Wolfurt25150101245
    3Lochau2514381145
    4FC Egg2414281144
    5Admira Dornbirn2513481043
    6Dornbirner SV2510781537
    7Hard2411211-235
    8Ludesch2510410234
    9Blau-Weiß Feldkirch239311-1130
    10Austria Lustenau II2510213-132
    11Rotenberg268711-331
    12Bizau256712-1625
    13Nenzing256414-2822
    14Göfis243615-2815

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Austria Lustenau II win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

    A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.