· Analysis updated 05:59 UTC
Austria Vienna (Am) vs SV Lafnitz Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.14 expected goals for Austria Vienna (Am) and 1.53 for SV Lafnitz, a combined total of 3.67. That distribution gives Austria Vienna (Am) the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austria Vienna (Am) win
51.7% probability
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Austria Vienna (Am) home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SV Lafnitz away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Vienna (Am) to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.14 goals for Austria Vienna (Am) and 1.53 for SV Lafnitz, a combined 3.67 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.9%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.4%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
Austria Vienna (Am)
- 2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Kapfenberg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Rapid Wien II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SKU Amstetten · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Liefering · 1-2 (L)
SV Lafnitz
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tillmitsch · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hartberg (Am) · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Allerheiligen · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Vienna (Am) win, at 51.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.