Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Austria Vienna and 1.10 for Beitar Jerusalem, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Austria Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

Austria Vienna to Win

61.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Austria Vienna win62%

Draw20%

Beitar Jerusalem win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

2–19.8%
1–19.0%
2–08.9%
1–08.2%
3–17.1%

Why the model likes this

Austria Vienna home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Beitar Jerusalem away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Vienna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.17 goals for Austria Vienna and 1.10 for Beitar Jerusalem, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Austria Vienna

2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Beitar Jerusalem · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lask Linz · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Beitar Jerusalem · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Liepaja · 3-1 (W)

Beitar Jerusalem

2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Vienna · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-30T17:30:00.000Z · H vs AEK Larnaca · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs AEK Larnaca · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.