Generali Arena · Referee Harald Lechner, Austria · Analysis updated 13:49 UTC
Austria Vienna vs WSG Wattens Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Austria Vienna and 2.08 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives WSG Wattens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
WSG Wattens win
56.9% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Austria Vienna home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
WSG Wattens away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–36.7%
Recent form
Austria Vienna
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Admira Wacker · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Grazer AK · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Lustenau · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Traiskirchen · 6-0 (W)
WSG Wattens
- 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Liefering · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-02T16:30:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 0-1 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2025-11-29T16:00:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 0-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2025-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 3-2 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2025-03-16T16:00:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 2-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2024-10-26T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2024-04-23T16:30:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 0-1 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2024-04-20T15:00:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2024-03-10T16:00:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 2-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2023-10-22T12:30:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 2-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
- 2022-11-06T13:30:00.000Z · Austria Vienna 0-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is WSG Wattens win, at 56.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.