Generali Arena · Analysis updated 01:05 UTC
Austria Wien W vs Salzburg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Austria Wien W and 0.95 for Salzburg W, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Austria Wien W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austria Wien W win
69.8% probability
Expected goals
2.43 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Austria Wien W home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Salzburg W away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 0 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–08.1%
- 1–17.9%
Recent form
Austria Wien W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)
Salzburg W
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-16T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Südburgenland W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · Austria Wien W 7-0 Salzburg W (Frauenliga)
- 2026-05-23T12:00:00.000Z · Austria Wien W 0-0 Salzburg W (Frauenliga)
- 2026-05-03T10:45:00.000Z · Austria Wien W 0-0 Salzburg W (Frauenliga)
- 2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · Austria Wien W 1-0 Salzburg W (Frauenliga)
- 2025-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · Austria Wien W 6-0 Salzburg W (Frauenliga)
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | St. Pölten W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Rheindorf Altach W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | LASK W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 6 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Wien W win, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.