Generali Arena · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Austria Wien W vs St. Pölten W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Austria Wien W and 1.10 for St. Pölten W, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Austria Wien W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austria Wien W win
52.0% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Austria Wien W home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Wien W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Austria Wien W and 1.10 for St. Pölten W, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Austria Wien W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rheindorf Altach W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-0 (W)
St. Pölten W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Rapid W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Wien W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Malmö FF W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | St. Pölten W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Rheindorf Altach W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | LASK W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 6 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Wien W win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.