England · FA Trophy · 1/128-finals14:00
AvroWLLLW

2 – 1

Saturday, 24 October 2026

Hyde UnitedLDLLW

· Analysis updated 13:52 UTC

Avro vs Hyde United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Avro and 1.33 for Hyde United, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Avro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Avro win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Avro home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hyde United away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Avro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Avro and 1.33 for Hyde United, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Avro win57%
Draw20%
Hyde United win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 1–06.5%

Recent form

Avro

  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Guiseley AFC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lancaster City · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunston UTS · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gainsborough Trinity · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Witton Albion · 0-2 (L)

Hyde United

  • 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avro · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gainsborough Trinity · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Quorn · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Curzon Ashton · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Cleethorpes Town · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Avro win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.