· Analysis updated 16:07 UTC
Aywaille vs Crossing Schaerbeek Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for Aywaille and 2.46 for Crossing Schaerbeek, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Crossing Schaerbeek the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Crossing Schaerbeek win
71.2% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 2.46
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Aywaille home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Crossing Schaerbeek away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crossing Schaerbeek to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 12% / 17% / 71% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for Aywaille and 2.46 for Crossing Schaerbeek, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
29%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.4%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–38.5%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–37.8%
Recent form
Aywaille
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-22T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostiches · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Eupen · 0-8 (L)
Crossing Schaerbeek
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Richelle United · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · Aywaille 1-4 Crossing Schaerbeek (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2025-04-12T18:30:00.000Z · Aywaille 3-3 Crossing Schaerbeek (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2024-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · Aywaille 1-2 Crossing Schaerbeek (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jette | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braine | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ganshoren | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | AS Eupen II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | RUS Binche | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stade Verviers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Richelle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Huy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Acren-Lessines | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Calamine | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostiches | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Crossing Schaerbeek win, at 71.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.