World · Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly16:00
B 93LLWWW

3 – 1

Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Holbæk B&IWWDWL

· Analysis updated 17:48 UTC

B 93 vs Holbæk B&I Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for B 93 and 2.13 for Holbæk B&I, a combined total of 4.18. That distribution gives Holbæk B&I the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

61.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.05 – 2.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • B 93 home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Holbæk B&I away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Holbæk B&I to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 39% / 20% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.05 goals for B 93 and 2.13 for Holbæk B&I, a combined 4.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

B 93 win39%
Draw20%
Holbæk B&I win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–35.2%

Recent form

B 93

  • 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 3-1 (W)

Holbæk B&I

  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Helsingor · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringsted · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hørsholm-Usserød · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ishøj · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.