· Analysis updated 16:20 UTC
B 93 vs Naestved Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for B 93 and 1.33 for Naestved, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives B 93 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.9% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
B 93 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates B 93 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 25% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for B 93 and 1.33 for Naestved, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.7%
Recent form
B 93
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 3-1 (W)
Naestved
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Naestved | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | B 93 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | HIK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.