Denmark · 2. Division · Matchweek 913:00
B 93LLWWW

1 – 0

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Thisted FCDDLLW

· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC

B 93 vs Thisted FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for B 93 and 1.08 for Thisted FC, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives B 93 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

B 93 win

66.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.40 – 1.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • B 93 home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Thisted FC away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates B 93 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 18% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.40 goals for B 93 and 1.08 for Thisted FC, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

B 93 win67%
Draw18%
Thisted FC win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 1–07.4%

Recent form

B 93

  • 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 3-1 (W)

Thisted FC

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Naestved · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nykobing FC · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonderjyske · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykobing FC127411525
2Roskilde136701525
3VSK Århus13553520
4Naestved13481320
5Middelfart13472619
6B 9313535318
7Skive13535018
8Fremad Amager13454-617
9Brabrand13436-515
10HIK13436-715
11Thisted FC12138-136
12FA 200013139-166

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is B 93 win, at 66.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.