· Analysis updated 19:47 UTC
B 93 W vs Thy ThistedQ W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for B 93 W and 2.02 for Thy ThistedQ W, a combined total of 4.06. That distribution gives B 93 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
60.6% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
B 93 W home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Thy ThistedQ W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates B 93 W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for B 93 W and 2.02 for Thy ThistedQ W, a combined 4.06 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 1–17.1%
- 3–25.0%
Recent form
B 93 W
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Osterbro W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AaB W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Viborg W · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-06-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 0-1 (L)
Thy ThistedQ W
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Esbjerg W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Naestved W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs B 93 W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Osterbro W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · A vs AaB W · 6-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.