Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

5 – 1

Sunday, 23 August 2026

· Analysis updated 11:53 UTC

Babelsberg U19 vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Babelsberg U19 and 1.56 for Eintracht Braunsch U19, a combined total of 4.02. That distribution gives Babelsberg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Babelsberg U19 win

57.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.46 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Babelsberg U19 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Eintracht Braunsch U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Babelsberg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 19% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.46 goals for Babelsberg U19 and 1.56 for Eintracht Braunsch U19, a combined 4.02 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Babelsberg U19 win57%
Draw19%
Eintracht Braunsch U19 win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 3–25.4%

Recent form

Babelsberg U19

  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunsch U19 · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Energie Cottbus U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 5-3 (W)

Eintracht Braunsch U19

  • 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha BSC U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hallescher FC U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Chemnitzer FC U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Berlin U19 · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Babelsberg U19 win, at 57.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.