ÖKO-BOX Stadion · Analysis updated 11:00 UTC
Bad Ischl vs Weißkirchen / Allhaming Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Bad Ischl and 2.23 for Weißkirchen / Allhaming, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Weißkirchen / Allhaming the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Weißkirchen / Allhaming win
58.9% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bad Ischl home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Weißkirchen / Allhaming away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.5%
- 1–18.6%
- 0–27.5%
- 1–37.1%
- 0–16.7%
Recent form
Bad Ischl
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Friedburg / Pöndorf · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostermiething · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gschwandt · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-4 (L)
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gschwandt · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Edelweiß · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-25T14:30:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 0-1 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2025-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 0-2 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2025-03-07T18:00:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 1-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2024-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 0-0 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2024-04-06T14:30:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 2-0 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2023-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 1-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2023-03-03T18:30:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 3-3 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
- 2022-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · Bad Ischl 2-0 Weißkirchen / Allhaming (Landesliga - Oberosterreich)
Landesliga - Oberosterreich table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Vorwarts Steyr | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 59 |
| 2 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 54 |
| 3 | Bad Schallerbach | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 50 |
| 4 | Union Perg | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 49 |
| 5 | Weißkirchen / Allhaming | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Friedburg / Pöndorf | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 44 |
| 7 | Union Edelweiß | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Mondsee | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | Ostermiething | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Union Vöcklamarkt | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | St. Martin i.M. | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Oedt | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Bad Ischl | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -34 | 30 |
| 14 | Pregarten | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 21 |
| 15 | Gschwandt | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -43 | 20 |
| 16 | Grün Weiß Micheldorf | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Weißkirchen / Allhaming win, at 58.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.