Bad Schallerbach vs Leonfelden Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Bad Schallerbach and 1.39 for Leonfelden, a combined total of 4.31. That distribution gives Bad Schallerbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bad Schallerbach win

68.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.93 – 1.39

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bad Schallerbach home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Leonfelden away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bad Schallerbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 16% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.93 goals for Bad Schallerbach and 1.39 for Leonfelden, a combined 4.31 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bad Schallerbach win69%

Draw16%

Leonfelden win16%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals62%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.0%
3–17.8%
2–05.7%
4–15.7%
3–05.6%

Recent form

Bad Schallerbach

2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Leonfelden · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wohnbau Dietach · 5-0 (W)
2026-08-14T17:15:00.000Z · A vs UFC Hallein · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gurten · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ried II · 2-3 (L)

Leonfelden

2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kuchl · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK Juniors · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Grödig · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wohnbau Dietach · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - North table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wals-Grünau	11	6	5	0	10	23
2	Wallern / Marienkirchen	10	7	1	2	19	22
3	LASK Juniors	10	6	2	2	19	20
4	Gurten	11	5	3	3	7	18
5	Bad Schallerbach	10	5	2	3	9	17
6	Kuchl	10	5	2	3	4	17
7	Grödig	10	5	1	4	4	16
8	SK Vorwarts Steyr	10	4	2	4	1	14
9	TSV St. Johann	10	4	2	4	-4	14
10	Seekirchen	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Ried II	11	3	2	6	-14	11
12	Leonfelden	10	2	4	4	-6	10
13	Wohnbau Dietach	10	2	2	6	-18	8
14	UFC Hallein	10	1	3	6	-14	6
15	Pinzgau Saalfelden	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bad Schallerbach win, at 68.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.