· Analysis updated 13:40 UTC
Bad Schallerbach vs Seekirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Bad Schallerbach and 1.28 for Seekirchen, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Bad Schallerbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Bad Schallerbach win
54.2% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bad Schallerbach home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Seekirchen away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bad Schallerbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 22% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Bad Schallerbach and 1.28 for Seekirchen, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.4%
Recent form
Bad Schallerbach
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Leonfelden · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wohnbau Dietach · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:15:00.000Z · A vs UFC Hallein · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gurten · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ried II · 2-3 (L)
Seekirchen
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wohnbau Dietach · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuchl · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - North table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | LASK Juniors | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 24 |
| 3 | Gurten | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Wals-Grünau | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Kuchl | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Bad Schallerbach | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | SK Vorwarts Steyr | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Leonfelden | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Grödig | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | TSV St. Johann | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Ried II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | Seekirchen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | UFC Hallein | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Wohnbau Dietach | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -19 | 9 |
| 15 | Pinzgau Saalfelden | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -16 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bad Schallerbach win, at 54.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.