Austria · Regionalliga - North · North - 517:00

5 – 0

Friday, 21 August 2026

· Analysis updated 12:18 UTC

Bad Schallerbach vs Wohnbau Dietach Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Bad Schallerbach and 2.25 for Wohnbau Dietach, a combined total of 4.73. That distribution gives Bad Schallerbach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.47 – 2.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bad Schallerbach home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wohnbau Dietach away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 8 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bad Schallerbach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 19% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.47 goals for Bad Schallerbach and 2.25 for Wohnbau Dietach, a combined 4.73 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Bad Schallerbach win45%
Draw19%
Wohnbau Dietach win37%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals69%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.1%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 1–25.6%
  • 2–35.2%

Recent form

Bad Schallerbach

  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuchl · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK Juniors · 0-3 (L)

Wohnbau Dietach

  • 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-11T17:15:00.000Z · A vs UFC Hallein · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - North table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wallern / Marienkirchen128132025
2LASK Juniors127322424
3Gurten13733924
4Wals-Grünau12651923
5Kuchl12633521
6Bad Schallerbach12534718
7SK Vorwarts Steyr12534218
8Leonfelden12444-216
9Grödig12516-216
10TSV St. Johann12435-515
11Ried II13427-1414
12Seekirchen12336-712
13UFC Hallein12336-1112
14Wohnbau Dietach12237-199
15Pinzgau Saalfelden12129-165

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.