· Analysis updated 19:55 UTC
Bad Schallerbach vs WSPG Wels Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Bad Schallerbach and 2.78 for WSPG Wels, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives WSPG Wels the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
WSPG Wels win
72.8% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 2.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bad Schallerbach home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
WSPG Wels away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates WSPG Wels to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 12% / 15% / 73% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Bad Schallerbach and 2.78 for WSPG Wels, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
27%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.8%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–38.1%
- 0–37.6%
- 1–16.3%
Recent form
Bad Schallerbach
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuchl · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK Juniors · 0-3 (L)
WSPG Wels
- 2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Voitsberg · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Salzburg · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-08T16:30:00.000Z · Bad Schallerbach 2-1 WSPG Wels (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is WSPG Wels win, at 72.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.