Oman · Professional League · Matchweek 2213:50
BahlaWWLL

1 – 1

Monday, 27 April 2026

Oman ClubLLWW

· Analysis updated 14:04 UTC

Bahla vs Oman Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Bahla and 1.05 for Oman Club, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Bahla the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bahla home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Oman Club away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bahla to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 30% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.05 goals for Bahla and 1.05 for Oman Club, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Bahla win35%
Draw30%
Oman Club win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112.9%
  • 1–012.9%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 1–27.1%

Recent form

Bahla

  • 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Seeb · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-24T13:50:00.000Z · H vs Dhofar · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-18T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Sur · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Al-Nahda · 2-1 (W)

Oman Club

  • 2026-08-25T13:50:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fanja · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rustaq · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Saham · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Professional League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr4400612
2Saham530209
3Al Seeb421137
4Al-Nahda321027
5Al-Shabab320126
6Bahla420206
7Oman Club420206
8Smail5131-36
9Ibri512225
10Fanja5122-15
11Dhofar5122-25
12Sohar4121-25
13Al Musannah5113-14
14Sur4004-60

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.