· Analysis updated 15:57 UTC
Baicoi vs Inter Sibiu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Baicoi and 1.75 for Inter Sibiu, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Inter Sibiu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Baicoi home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Inter Sibiu away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Inter Sibiu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 37% / 23% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Baicoi and 1.75 for Inter Sibiu, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–15.8%
Recent form
Baicoi
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpic Zărneşti · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carpati Covasna · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi II · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Sibiu · 1-0 (W)
Inter Sibiu
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Baicoi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kids Tâmpa Braşov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Săcele · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Tricolorul Breaza · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ACS Mediaş 2022 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corona Braşov | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Baicoi | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Olimpic Zărneşti | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter Sibiu | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Sepsi II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Valenii de Munte | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Săcele | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Tricolorul Breaza | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 11 | Carpati Covasna | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -27 | 1 |
| 12 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.