World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying18:00

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Thursday, 30 July 2026

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri · Referee V. Chinkov · Analysis updated 10:08 UTC

Ballkani vs Bohemians Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.22 expected goals for Ballkani and 1.48 for Bohemians, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Bohemians the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ballkani win32%
Draw26%
Bohemians win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–17.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Ballkani home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bohemians to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 32% / 26% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.22 goals for Ballkani and 1.48 for Bohemians, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Ballkani

  • 2026-07-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs GAP Connah S Quay FC · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-07-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs GAP Connah S Quay FC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-4 (L)

Bohemians

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.