England · Non League Premier - Northern · Matchweek 714:00

4 – 4

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Hyde UnitedLDLLW

· Analysis updated 14:37 UTC

Bamber Bridge vs Hyde United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Bamber Bridge and 1.55 for Hyde United, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Bamber Bridge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bamber Bridge home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hyde United away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Bamber Bridge win41%
Draw23%
Hyde United win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–06.7%

Recent form

Bamber Bridge

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Quorn · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Guiseley AFC · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockton Town · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alfreton Town · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Trafford · 1-3 (L)

Hyde United

  • 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avro · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gainsborough Trinity · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Quorn · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Curzon Ashton · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Cleethorpes Town · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-01-17T15:00:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 4-0 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2025-10-07T18:45:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 0-1 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2024-12-21T15:00:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 1-1 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2024-08-13T18:45:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 1-2 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2023-12-09T15:00:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 2-2 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2023-08-15T18:45:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 2-0 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2022-10-29T14:00:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 0-7 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2022-10-18T18:45:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 1-0 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2022-04-09T14:00:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 4-0 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)
  • 2021-08-17T18:45:00.000Z · Bamber Bridge 4-1 Hyde United (Non League Premier - Northern)

Non League Premier - Northern table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic1510412034
2Cleethorpes Town149322230
3Guiseley AFC139131528
4Gainsborough Trinity149141428
5Avro149141028
6Workington15735124
7Rylands14725423
8Warrington Town14653423
9Curzon Ashton13715722
10Alfreton Town15627420
11Lancaster City16628-920
12Bury116141119
13Whitby Town15618-1519
14AFC Emley15456-1017
15Hyde United15438-1415
16Leek Town13355014
17Ashton United14356-114
18Quorn13355-614
19Stockton Town15339-1012
20United of Manchester13247-610
21Bamber Bridge14248-1710
22Ilkeston Town153111-2410

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.