Brazil · Paulista - U20 · Matchweek 418:00

1 – 2

Friday, 26 June 2026

· Analysis updated 09:08 UTC

Bandeirante U20 vs Oeste U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.04 expected goals for Bandeirante U20 and 0.96 for Oeste U20, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Bandeirante U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.04 – 0.96

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bandeirante U20 home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Oeste U20 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bandeirante U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 31% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.04 goals for Bandeirante U20 and 0.96 for Oeste U20, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Bandeirante U20 win37%
Draw31%
Oeste U20 win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–014.1%
  • 0–013.6%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–113.0%
  • 2–07.3%

Recent form

Bandeirante U20

  • 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Botafogo SP U20 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Paulinense SP U20 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · A vs União São João U20 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ibrachina U20 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Aguai U20 · 3-2 (W)

Oeste U20

  • 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Desportivo Brasil U20 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Desportivo Brasil U20 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Desportivo Brasil U20 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs São Caetano U20 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Novorizontino U20 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Paulista - U20 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.