· Analysis updated 13:26 UTC
Bandeirante U20 vs SC Paulinense SP U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Bandeirante U20 and 1.18 for SC Paulinense SP U20, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives SC Paulinense SP U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
69.0% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bandeirante U20 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SC Paulinense SP U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SC Paulinense SP U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 31% / 29% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Bandeirante U20 and 1.18 for SC Paulinense SP U20, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.4%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–27.8%
Recent form
Bandeirante U20
- 2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RB Bragantino U20 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Bragantino U20 · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs XV de Piracicaba U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs EC São Bernardo U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Botafogo SP U20 · 0-4 (L)
SC Paulinense SP U20
- 2026-08-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs São Paulo U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bandeirante U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs União São João U20 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ibrachina U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Velo Clube U20 · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.