· Analysis updated 02:29 UTC
Banfield Res. vs Talleres Córdoba Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.79 expected goals for Banfield Res. and 1.39 for Talleres Córdoba Res., a combined total of 2.17. That distribution gives Talleres Córdoba Res. the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Talleres Córdoba Res. win
51.1% probability
Expected goals
0.79 – 1.39
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Banfield Res. home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Talleres Córdoba Res. to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 21% / 28% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.79 goals for Banfield Res. and 1.39 for Talleres Córdoba Res., a combined 2.17 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 41%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.8%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–011.4%
- 0–210.9%
- 1–09.0%
Recent form
Banfield Res.
- 2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atlético Tucumán Res. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Lanús Res. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Godoy Cruz Res. · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central Res. · 2-0 (W)
Talleres Córdoba Res.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Talleres Córdoba Res. win, at 51.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.