Baník Ostrava U19 vs Karviná U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Baník Ostrava U19 and 1.25 for Karviná U19, a combined total of 4.13. That distribution gives Baník Ostrava U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Baník Ostrava U19 win

70.8% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.88 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Baník Ostrava U19 home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Baník Ostrava U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 15% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.88 goals for Baník Ostrava U19 and 1.25 for Karviná U19, a combined 4.13 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 67%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Baník Ostrava U19 win71%

Draw15%

Karviná U19 win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals78%

Over 3.5 goals59%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–18.4%
3–18.0%
2–06.7%
3–06.4%
1–15.8%

Recent form

Baník Ostrava U19

2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 1-0 (W)

Karviná U19

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Opava U19	12	9	1	2	18	28
2	Hradec Králové U19	13	7	4	2	18	25
3	Baník Ostrava U19	10	8	0	2	5	24
4	Sigma Olomouc U19	11	7	1	3	10	22
5	Dukla Praha U19	12	6	3	3	7	21
6	Mladá Boleslav U19	12	6	2	4	5	20
7	Viktoria Plzeň U19	9	6	1	2	16	19
8	Sparta Praha U19	11	5	1	5	4	16
9	Teplice U19	11	5	1	5	-6	16
10	České Budějovice U19	11	4	2	5	7	14
11	Zbrojovka Brno U19	12	4	2	6	-5	14
12	Slovácko U19	12	3	1	8	-12	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	2	2	8	-15	8
14	Zlín U19	11	2	2	7	-17	8
15	Slavia Praha U19	11	1	4	6	-11	7
16	Karviná U19	12	2	1	9	-24	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Baník Ostrava U19 win, at 70.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.