Bazaly · Analysis updated 03:56 UTC
Baník Ostrava W vs Horní Heršpice W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Baník Ostrava W and 0.85 for Horní Heršpice W, a combined total of 3.01. That distribution gives Baník Ostrava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Baník Ostrava W win
67.2% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Baník Ostrava W home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Horní Heršpice W away threat
Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Baník Ostrava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 19% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Baník Ostrava W and 0.85 for Horní Heršpice W, a combined 3.01 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 3–08.2%
Recent form
Baník Ostrava W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Horní Heršpice W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Prague Raptors W · 0-3 (L)
Horní Heršpice W
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Prague Raptors W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-7 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 27 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Slovácko W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 13 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 6 | Prague Raptors W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -29 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Baník Ostrava W win, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.