· Analysis updated 06:26 UTC
Baník Prievidza vs DAC II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Baník Prievidza and 2.13 for DAC II, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives DAC II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
DAC II win
45.5% probability
Expected goals
1.83 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Baník Prievidza home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
DAC II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates DAC II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 34% / 21% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.83 goals for Baník Prievidza and 2.13 for DAC II, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Baník Prievidza
- 2026-10-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Veľké Ludince · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Myjava · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Púchov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajská Lužná · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno II · 4-1 (W)
DAC II
- 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Púchov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunajská Lužná · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno II · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Rača · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-04T14:30:00.000Z · Baník Prievidza 3-2 DAC II (3. liga - West)
- 2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · Baník Prievidza 3-0 DAC II (3. liga - West)
- 2025-10-12T08:30:00.000Z · Baník Prievidza 2-1 DAC II (3. liga - West)
3. liga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nitra | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 34 |
| 2 | Dunajská Lužná | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Púchov | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 22 |
| 4 | Gabčíkovo | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Myjava | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Beluša | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Nové Zámky | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Baník Prievidza | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | MŠK Senec | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 10 | DAC II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Trenčín II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Komárno II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 | Veľké Ludince | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Častkovce | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Rača | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -15 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is DAC II win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.