Stadium Banik Sokolov · Analysis updated 14:54 UTC
Baník Sokolov vs Štětí Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Baník Sokolov and 0.75 for Štětí, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Baník Sokolov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Baník Sokolov win
78.1% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Baník Sokolov home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Štětí away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Baník Sokolov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 14% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Baník Sokolov and 0.75 for Štětí, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
22%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.6%
- 3–010.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.8%
Recent form
Baník Sokolov
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brandýs nad Labem · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Hostouň · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Praha · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ostrov · 1-2 (L)
Štětí
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Karlovy Vary · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hvězda Cheb · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slaný · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Meteor Praha · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Újezd Praha 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Rapid Psáry | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Sokol Hostouň | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Slaný | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Baník Sokolov | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Brandýs nad Labem | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Štětí | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Karlovy Vary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Tempo Praha | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Meteor Praha | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Slovan Velvary | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 14 | Slavoj Vyšehrad | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 15 | Ostrov | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 16 | Ústí nad Labem II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Baník Sokolov win, at 78.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.