Baník Souš vs Benátky nad Jizerou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Baník Souš and 1.80 for Benátky nad Jizerou, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Benátky nad Jizerou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Benátky nad Jizerou win

46.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Baník Souš home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Benátky nad Jizerou away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Benátky nad Jizerou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 23% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for Baník Souš and 1.80 for Benátky nad Jizerou, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Baník Souš win31%

Draw23%

Benátky nad Jizerou win47%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score63%

Correct score

1–110.2%
1–29.2%
2–17.3%
0–17.2%
2–26.5%

Recent form

Baník Souš

2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Varnsdorf · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-14T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Benátky nad Jizerou · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav II · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jablonec II · 1-3 (L)

Benátky nad Jizerou

2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Neratovice-Byškovice · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jablonec II	12	8	3	1	19	27
2	Mladá Boleslav II	12	8	2	2	21	26
3	Sokol Zápy	12	7	3	2	9	24
4	Benátky nad Jizerou	12	5	6	1	9	21
5	Pardubice II	11	6	2	3	15	20
6	Varnsdorf	11	5	3	3	1	18
7	Baník Souš	12	5	1	6	5	16
8	Neratovice-Byškovice	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Čáslav	11	4	2	5	-10	14
10	Hradec Králové II	12	3	4	5	-1	13
11	Teplice II	12	4	1	7	-6	13
12	Chrudim	12	3	4	5	-10	13
13	Slovan Liberec II	11	3	2	6	-8	11
14	Horní Ředice	10	3	0	7	-13	9
15	Sokol Brozany	12	1	5	6	-9	8
16	Velké Hamry	12	2	2	8	-20	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Benátky nad Jizerou win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.