Spain Park · Analysis updated 00:56 UTC
Banks O' Dee vs Dalbeattie Star Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Banks O' Dee and 1.14 for Dalbeattie Star, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Banks O' Dee the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Banks O' Dee win
67.1% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Banks O' Dee home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dalbeattie Star away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Banks O' Dee to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 17% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.51 goals for Banks O' Dee and 1.14 for Dalbeattie Star, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 3–06.8%
Recent form
Banks O' Dee
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Clachnacuddin · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Motherwell U21 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lossiemouth · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Fraserburgh · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kirkintilloch Rob Roy · 1-1 (D)
Dalbeattie Star
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cumbernauld Colts · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Celtic II · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Largs Thistle · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pollok · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Auchinleck Talbot · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Banks O' Dee win, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.