Bantu vs Machokha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.55 expected goals for Bantu and 0.93 for Machokha, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Bantu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bantu win

84.6% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.55 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bantu home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Machokha away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Bantu win85%

Draw10%

Machokha win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

91%

Double chance X2

15%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals81%

Over 3.5 goals64%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

3–08.4%
3–17.9%
4–07.5%
2–07.1%
4–17.0%

Recent form

Bantu

2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Limkokwing University · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lijabatho · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lifofane · 5-1 (W)
2026-10-03T09:45:00.000Z · H vs Mzamane · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs LMPS · 1-0 (W)

Machokha

2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Linare · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Limkokwing University · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs LCS · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Liphakoe · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Manonyane · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-04-04T13:00:00.000Z · Bantu 4-0 Machokha (Premier League)
2025-10-26T13:00:00.000Z · Bantu 1-0 Machokha (Premier League)
2025-03-01T13:00:00.000Z · Bantu 1-2 Machokha (Premier League)
2024-12-15T14:30:00.000Z · Bantu 3-0 Machokha (Premier League)
2024-03-10T14:00:00.000Z · Bantu 3-0 Machokha (Premier League)
2023-11-11T13:00:00.000Z · Bantu 3-0 Machokha (Premier League)
2023-02-04T14:00:00.000Z · Bantu 4-1 Machokha (Premier League)
2022-11-27T13:00:00.000Z · Bantu 2-0 Machokha (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lijabatho	8	6	2	0	16	20
2	Bantu	8	6	1	1	13	19
3	Matlama	8	6	1	1	9	19
4	Majantja	8	5	2	1	8	17
5	Linare	8	5	1	2	6	16
6	Lioli	8	3	5	0	8	14
7	LDF	8	3	4	1	1	13
8	LCS	8	3	2	3	1	11
9	Manonyane	8	2	4	2	3	10
10	Lifofane	8	2	2	4	-5	8
11	Members	8	2	2	4	-8	8
12	Limkokwing University	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	SC Villa	8	1	1	6	-8	4
14	Machokha	8	1	1	6	-10	4
15	Mzamane	8	1	1	6	-20	4
16	LMPS	8	0	2	6	-9	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bantu win, at 84.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.