· Analysis updated 07:08 UTC
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs Eintracht Frankfurt II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. and 2.05 for Eintracht Frankfurt II, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives Eintracht Frankfurt II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
61.3% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Frankfurt II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eintracht Frankfurt II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 39% / 21% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. and 2.05 for Eintracht Frankfurt II, a combined 4.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.3%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.0%
Recent form
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VfR Aalen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC 08 Homburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfR Mannheim · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Freiburg II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter Kickers · 1-2 (L)
Eintracht Frankfurt II
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Ulm 1846 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs TSV Steinbach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 08 Homburg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Astoria Walldorf · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - SudWest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Kickers Offenbach | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | FC 08 Homburg | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | SV Sandhausen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Eintracht Trier | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | TSV Steinbach | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.