· Analysis updated 13:34 UTC
Bassecourt vs Langenthal Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Bassecourt and 3.00 for Langenthal, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Langenthal the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Langenthal win
67.8% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bassecourt home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Langenthal away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Langenthal to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 17% / 16% / 68% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Bassecourt and 3.00 for Langenthal, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
32%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.5%
- 1–37.5%
- 1–45.6%
- 2–25.6%
- 2–35.6%
Recent form
Bassecourt
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Delémont · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Schötz · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Thun II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Black Stars · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Münsingen · 3-1 (W)
Langenthal
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshopper II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Muri-Gümligen · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langenthal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Schötz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Courtételle | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Concordia Basel | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Delémont | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Muttenz | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Solothurn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Grasshopper II | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Buochs | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Muri-Gümligen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Thun II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Wohlen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Bassecourt | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Zug | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Black Stars | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Münsingen | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Langenthal win, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.