Samson Siasia Sports Stadium · Analysis updated 10:57 UTC
Bayelsa United vs Wikki Tourist Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Bayelsa United and 1.41 for Wikki Tourist, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Bayelsa United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bayelsa United win
48.1% probability
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.41
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bayelsa United home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wikki Tourist away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bayelsa United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 23% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Bayelsa United and 1.41 for Wikki Tourist, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–06.6%
Recent form
Bayelsa United
- 2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wikki Tourist · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kwara United · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Remo Stars · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Enugu Rangers · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Katsina United · 2-3 (L)
Wikki Tourist
- 2026-06-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs El Kanemi Warriors · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Flight FC Gboko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kada Warriors · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-06-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayelsa United · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kun Khalifat FC · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Nasarawa United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Barau FC | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Bendel Insurance | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Niger Tornadoes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Ikorodu City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Katsina United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Kun Khalifat FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 | Abia Warriors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bayelsa United win, at 48.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.