· Analysis updated 12:22 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.05 expected goals for Bayer Leverkusen U19 and 3.65 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined total of 6.70. That distribution gives Viktoria Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 95% for over 2.5 goals and 91% for both teams to score, with 3–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viktoria Köln U19 win
50.9% probability
Expected goals
3.05 – 3.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bayer Leverkusen U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 34% / 16% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.05 goals for Bayer Leverkusen U19 and 3.65 for Viktoria Köln U19, a combined 6.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–34.7%
- 2–34.6%
- 3–44.3%
- 2–44.2%
- 3–23.9%
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen U19
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Elversberg U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Hildesheim U19 · 4-0 (W)
Viktoria Köln U19
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Osnabrück U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Köln U19 win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 91% and over 2.5 goals at 95%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.