· Analysis updated 06:31 UTC
Bayern München U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Bayern München U19 and 2.43 for RB Leipzig U19, a combined total of 4.85. That distribution gives Bayern München U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
59.4% probability
Expected goals
2.43 – 2.43
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Bayern München U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bayern München U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 19% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.43 goals for Bayern München U19 and 2.43 for RB Leipzig U19, a combined 4.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 83%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.8%
- 2–15.6%
- 1–25.6%
- 3–25.5%
- 2–35.5%
Recent form
Bayern München U19
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart U19 · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Unterhaching U19 · 4-0 (W)
RB Leipzig U19
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T12:05:00.000Z · H vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 3-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.