Bdin vs Etar VT II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Bdin and 2.69 for Etar VT II, a combined total of 4.84. That distribution gives Etar VT II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Etar VT II win

50.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 2.69

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bdin home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Etar VT II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Bdin win32%

Draw18%

Etar VT II win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals86%

Over 3.5 goals71%

Both teams to score82%

Correct score

2–26.6%
1–26.2%
2–35.9%
1–35.5%
2–14.9%

Recent form

Bdin

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Montana · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chavdar Troyan · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Levski · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Pavlikeni · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pleven II · 4-2 (W)

Etar VT II

2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Partizan · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Juventus Malchika · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademik Svishtov · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kom Berkovitsa · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yantra Polski Trambesh · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · Bdin 4-1 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2025-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · Bdin 0-2 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2025-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Bdin 0-2 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2024-11-23T12:30:00.000Z · Bdin 2-0 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2023-04-17T14:00:00.000Z · Bdin 3-1 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2022-09-24T14:00:00.000Z · Bdin 4-1 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2022-05-14T15:00:00.000Z · Bdin 3-0 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2021-11-06T12:30:00.000Z · Bdin 4-2 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2021-03-21T12:30:00.000Z · Bdin 1-1 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)
2020-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · Bdin 0-1 Etar VT II (Third League - Northwest)

Third League - Northwest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Akademik Svishtov	9	6	3	0	13	21
2	Lokomotiv Mezdra	8	4	4	0	9	16
3	Yantra Polski Trambesh	9	3	4	2	7	13
4	Kom Berkovitsa	8	3	4	1	3	13
5	Partizan	9	3	3	3	0	12
6	Chavdar Troyan	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	Etar VT II	8	3	1	4	6	10
8	Sevlievo	7	2	4	1	2	10
9	Pavlikeni	9	3	0	6	-4	9
10	Bdin	8	3	0	5	-5	9
11	OFK Levski	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Spartak Pleven II	9	1	3	5	-13	6
13	Juventus Malchika	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Etar VT II win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.